Newcastle United v Brighton & Hove Albion
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Newcastle win 31%, draw 24%, Brighton win 45%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Newcastle and Brighton, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Newcastle 12th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Newcastle 11, Brighton 19, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Newcastle 6, Brighton 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Newcastle 1.46, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Newcastle 1.36, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Newcastle 2%, Brighton 79%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brighton 0 | Brighton 1 | Brighton 2 | Brighton 3 | Brighton 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 5% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | NewcastleRelegation | BrightonChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 79% |
| Newcastle win | , down 3 points4% | , down 5 points74% |
| Draw | , up 1 point8% | , down 3 points76% |
| Brighton win | , up 3 points10% | , up 4 points83% |