Newcastle United v Chelsea
The closest match of the week.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Newcastle win 37%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 39%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Newcastle and Chelsea, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Newcastle 12th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Newcastle 11, Chelsea 16, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Newcastle 6, Chelsea 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Newcastle 1.46, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Newcastle 1.36, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Newcastle 2%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Chelsea 0 | Chelsea 1 | Chelsea 2 | Chelsea 3 | Chelsea 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 5% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | NewcastleRelegation | ChelseaChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 28% |
| Newcastle win | , down 3 points4% | , down 8 points20% |
| Draw | , up 1 point8% | , down 1 point27% |
| Chelsea win | , up 3 points10% | , up 7 points35% |