Newcastle United v Coventry City
Coventry won 4–1 when they met in October.
- Date
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 47%, draw 24%, Coventry win 29%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Newcastle and Coventry, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Newcastle 12th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Newcastle 11, Coventry 9, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Newcastle 6, Coventry 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Newcastle 1.46, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Newcastle 1.36, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Newcastle 7%, Coventry 22%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Coventry 0 | Coventry 1 | Coventry 2 | Coventry 3 | Coventry 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 6% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Newcastle | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 22% |
| Newcastle win | , down 3 points4% | , up 5 points27% |
| Draw | , up 1 point8% | , no change22% |
| Coventry win | , up 6 points13% | , down 7 points15% |