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Newcastle United v Everton

  • Date
  • Venue St. James' Park, Newcastle-upon-Tyne
  • Where to watch in the US: USA Network, TVUniverso, streaming

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 45%, draw 26%, Everton win 29%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Newcastle and Everton, against the league median
PositionNewcastle 12th, Everton 14th, league median 10.5th
PointsNewcastle 11, Everton 10, league median 11
Points, last 5Newcastle 6, Everton 5, league median 8
OffenseNewcastle 1.46, Everton 1.24, league median 1.45
DefenseNewcastle 1.36, Everton 1.24, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsNewcastle 7%, Everton 14%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Newcastle goals down, Everton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Everton 0Everton 1Everton 2Everton 3Everton 4
Newcastle 06%6%4%2%1%
Newcastle 18%12%7%3%1%
Newcastle 27%9%6%2%1%
Newcastle 34%5%3%1%<1%
Newcastle 42%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Newcastle and Everton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
11Leeds29+111
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultNewcastleEverton
Now7%14%
Newcastle win, down 2 points5%, up 3 points17%
Draw, up 1 point8%, no change14%
Everton win, up 4 points11%, down 5 points9%