Newcastle United v Fulham

NewcastleNewcastle United

10:00 AM ET

FulhamFulham

Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Saturday, January 16

Tale of the tape

	Newcastle and Fulham, against the league medianNewcastleFulham
Position	Newcastle 12th, Fulham 15th, league median 10.5th12th15th
Points	Newcastle 11, Fulham 9, league median 11119
Points, last 5	Newcastle 6, Fulham 8, league median 868
Offense	Newcastle 1.46, Fulham 1.25, league median 1.451.461.25
Defense	Newcastle 1.36, Fulham 1.22, league median 1.241.361.22
Relegation odds	Newcastle 7%, Fulham 21%, league median 7%7%21%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Newcastle goals down, Fulham goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Fulham goals
		Fulham 0	Fulham 1	Fulham 2	Fulham 3	Fulham 4
Newcastle goals	Newcastle 0	6%	6%	5%	2%	1%
	Newcastle 1	8%	12%	7%	3%	1%
	Newcastle 2	7%	9%	6%	3%	1%
	Newcastle 3	4%	5%	3%	1%	<1%
	Newcastle 4	2%	2%	1%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Newcastle and Fulham sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	14%
15	Fulham	29	−2	9	21%
16	Coventry	29	−7	9	22%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Newcastle	Fulham
Now	7%	21%
Newcastle win	, down 2 points5%	, up 4 points25%
Draw	, up 1 point8%	, up 1 point22%
Fulham win	, up 4 points11%	, down 7 points14%