Newcastle United v Ipswich Town
Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.
- Date
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 54%, draw 21%, Ipswich win 25%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Newcastle and Ipswich, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Newcastle 12th, Ipswich 13th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Newcastle 11, Ipswich 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Newcastle 6, Ipswich 5, league median 8 |
| Offense | Newcastle 1.46, Ipswich 1.48, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Newcastle 1.36, Ipswich 1.69, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Newcastle 7%, Ipswich 36%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Ipswich 0 | Ipswich 1 | Ipswich 2 | Ipswich 3 | Ipswich 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 5% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Newcastle | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 36% |
| Newcastle win | , down 2 points5% | , up 6 points42% |
| Draw | , up 1 point8% | , no change36% |
| Ipswich win | , up 5 points12% | , down 11 points25% |