Newcastle United v Leeds United

NewcastleNewcastle United

11:00 AM ET

LeedsLeeds United

Leeds won 4–1 when they met in September.

• Date Saturday, March 20

Tale of the tape

	Newcastle and Leeds, against the league medianNewcastleLeeds
Position	Newcastle 12th, Leeds 11th, league median 10.5th12th11th
Points	Newcastle 11, Leeds 11, league median 111111
Points, last 5	Newcastle 6, Leeds 3, league median 863
Offense	Newcastle 1.46, Leeds 1.30, league median 1.451.461.30
Defense	Newcastle 1.36, Leeds 1.13, league median 1.241.361.13
Relegation odds	Newcastle 7%, Leeds 4%, league median 7%7%4%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Newcastle goals down, Leeds goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Leeds goals
		Leeds 0	Leeds 1	Leeds 2	Leeds 3	Leeds 4
Newcastle goals	Newcastle 0	7%	7%	5%	2%	1%
	Newcastle 1	8%	13%	8%	3%	1%
	Newcastle 2	7%	9%	6%	3%	1%
	Newcastle 3	3%	4%	3%	1%	<1%
	Newcastle 4	1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Newcastle and Leeds sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Newcastle	Leeds
Now	7%	4%
Newcastle win	, down 2 points5%	, up 2 points6%
Draw	, up 1 point8%	, no change4%
Leeds win	, up 3 points10%	, down 2 points2%