Newcastle United v Manchester City
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Newcastle win 27%, draw 24%, Man City win 49%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Newcastle and Man City, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Newcastle 12th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Newcastle 11, Man City 21, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Newcastle 6, Man City 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Newcastle 1.46, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Newcastle 1.36, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Newcastle 2%, Man City 90%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man City 0 | Man City 1 | Man City 2 | Man City 3 | Man City 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 4% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | NewcastleRelegation | Man CityChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 90% |
| Newcastle win | , down 3 points4% | , down 4 points86% |
| Draw | , up 1 point8% | , no change90% |
| Man City win | , up 2 points9% | , up 3 points93% |