Newcastle United v Manchester United
Man United is 8th by rating, Newcastle 12th, and home field evens it.
- Date
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 39%, draw 25%, Man United win 36%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Newcastle and Man United, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Newcastle 12th, Man United 17th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Newcastle 11, Man United 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Newcastle 6, Man United 3, league median 8 |
| Offense | Newcastle 1.46, Man United 1.55, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Newcastle 1.36, Man United 1.25, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Newcastle 7%, Man United 8%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man United 0 | Man United 1 | Man United 2 | Man United 3 | Man United 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Newcastle | Man United |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 8% |
| Newcastle win | , down 3 points4% | , up 3 points11% |
| Draw | , up 1 point8% | , up 2 points10% |
| Man United win | , up 3 points10% | , down 3 points5% |