Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle is the favorite despite sitting 4 places below Tottenham.
- Date
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 42%, draw 26%, Tottenham win 32%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Newcastle and Tottenham, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Newcastle 12th, Tottenham 8th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Newcastle 11, Tottenham 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Newcastle 6, Tottenham 10, league median 8 |
| Offense | Newcastle 1.46, Tottenham 1.34, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Newcastle 1.36, Tottenham 1.21, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Newcastle 7%, Tottenham 6%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Tottenham 0 | Tottenham 1 | Tottenham 2 | Tottenham 3 | Tottenham 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 0 | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
| Newcastle 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Newcastle | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 6% |
| Newcastle win | , down 2 points5% | , up 2 points8% |
| Draw | , up 1 point8% | , no change6% |
| Tottenham win | , up 3 points10% | , down 2 points4% |