Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa
The table says 19th vs. 9th, but the win chances are 39% and 34%.
- Date
Win chances: Nott'm Forest favored. Nott'm Forest win 39%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 34%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Nott'm Forest and Aston Villa, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Nott'm Forest 19th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Nott'm Forest 6, Aston Villa 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Nott'm Forest 1, Aston Villa 11, league median 8 |
| Offense | Nott'm Forest 1.28, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Nott'm Forest 1.23, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Nott'm Forest <1%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Aston Villa 0 | Aston Villa 1 | Aston Villa 2 | Aston Villa 3 | Aston Villa 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest 0 | 7% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Nott'm Forest 1 | 8% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
| Nott'm Forest 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Nott'm Forest 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Nott'm Forest 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | Nott'm ForestRelegation | Aston VillaChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 29% | 4% |
| Nott'm Forest win | , down 8 points21% | , down 1 point3% |
| Draw | , no change29% | , no change4% |
| Aston Villa win | , up 7 points36% | , up 2 points6% |