Nottingham Forest v Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 83%, a loss to 73%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Nott'm Forest win 30%, draw 26%, Brighton win 44%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Nott'm Forest and Brighton, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Nott'm Forest 19th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Nott'm Forest 6, Brighton 19, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Nott'm Forest 1, Brighton 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Nott'm Forest 1.28, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Nott'm Forest 1.23, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Nott'm Forest <1%, Brighton 79%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brighton 0 | Brighton 1 | Brighton 2 | Brighton 3 | Brighton 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest 0 | 7% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Nott'm Forest 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Nott'm Forest 2 | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Nott'm Forest 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| Nott'm Forest 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | Nott'm ForestRelegation | BrightonChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 29% | 79% |
| Nott'm Forest win | , down 9 points20% | , down 6 points73% |
| Draw | , no change29% | , down 1 point78% |
| Brighton win | , up 5 points34% | , up 4 points83% |