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Nottingham Forest v Chelsea

Home field evens it against Chelsea, 6th by rating.

  • Date

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Nott'm Forest win 35%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 39%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Nott'm Forest and Chelsea, against the league median
PositionNott'm Forest 19th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th
PointsNott'm Forest 6, Chelsea 16, league median 11
Points, last 5Nott'm Forest 1, Chelsea 9, league median 8
OffenseNott'm Forest 1.28, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45
DefenseNott'm Forest 1.23, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsNott'm Forest <1%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Nott'm Forest goals down, Chelsea goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Chelsea 0Chelsea 1Chelsea 2Chelsea 3Chelsea 4
Nott'm Forest 06%7%6%3%1%
Nott'm Forest 16%12%9%4%2%
Nott'm Forest 25%8%6%3%1%
Nott'm Forest 33%4%3%2%1%
Nott'm Forest 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Nott'm Forest and Chelsea sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultNott'm ForestRelegationChelseaChampions League
Now29%28%
Nott'm Forest win, down 8 points21%, down 6 points22%
Draw, no change29%, down 2 points26%
Chelsea win, up 6 points35%, up 6 points34%