Nottingham Forest v Hull City

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

2:30 PM ET

High stakesHigh stakesStakes 32 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.

HullHull City

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Nott'm Forest's chances of going down to 23%, Hull's to 20%.

• Date Tuesday, January 5

Tale of the tape

	Nott'm Forest and Hull, against the league medianNott'm ForestHull
Position	Nott'm Forest 19th, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th19th10th
Points	Nott'm Forest 6, Hull 11, league median 11611
Points, last 5	Nott'm Forest 1, Hull 3, league median 813
Offense	Nott'm Forest 1.28, Hull 1.08, league median 1.451.281.08
Defense	Nott'm Forest 1.23, Hull 1.24, league median 1.241.231.24
Relegation odds	Nott'm Forest 29%, Hull 32%, league median 7%29%32%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Nott'm Forest goals down, Hull goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Hull goals
		Hull 0	Hull 1	Hull 2	Hull 3	Hull 4
Nott'm Forest goals	Nott'm Forest 0	10%	8%	4%	1%	<1%
	Nott'm Forest 1	12%	13%	6%	2%	1%
	Nott'm Forest 2	9%	9%	5%	2%	<1%
	Nott'm Forest 3	4%	4%	2%	1%	<1%
	Nott'm Forest 4	2%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Nott'm Forest and Hull sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	3%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
…
18	Crystal Palace	29	−12	7	61%
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Nott'm Forest	Hull
Now	29%	32%
Nott'm Forest win	, down 6 points23%	, up 5 points37%
Draw	, up 1 point30%	, no change32%
Hull win	, up 8 points37%	, down 12 points20%