Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

3:00 PM ET

NewcastleNewcastle United

Nott'm Forest is the favorite despite sitting 7 places below Newcastle.

• Date Wednesday, March 3

Tale of the tape

	Nott'm Forest and Newcastle, against the league medianNott'm ForestNewcastle
Position	Nott'm Forest 19th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th19th12th
Points	Nott'm Forest 6, Newcastle 11, league median 11611
Points, last 5	Nott'm Forest 1, Newcastle 6, league median 816
Offense	Nott'm Forest 1.28, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.451.281.46
Defense	Nott'm Forest 1.23, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.241.231.36
Relegation odds	Nott'm Forest 29%, Newcastle 7%, league median 7%29%7%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Nott'm Forest goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Newcastle goals
		Newcastle 0	Newcastle 1	Newcastle 2	Newcastle 3	Newcastle 4
Nott'm Forest goals	Nott'm Forest 0	6%	6%	5%	2%	1%
	Nott'm Forest 1	8%	12%	8%	3%	1%
	Nott'm Forest 2	7%	9%	6%	3%	1%
	Nott'm Forest 3	4%	5%	3%	1%	<1%
	Nott'm Forest 4	1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Nott'm Forest and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%
…
18	Crystal Palace	29	−12	7	61%
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Nott'm Forest	Newcastle
Now	29%	7%
Nott'm Forest win	, down 7 points22%	, up 3 points10%
Draw	, no change29%	, no change7%
Newcastle win	, up 8 points37%	, down 3 points4%