Sunderland v Aston Villa

SunderlandSunderland

10:00 AM ET

Aston VillaAston Villa

Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 3%.

• Date Saturday, February 6

Tale of the tape

	Sunderland and Aston Villa, against the league medianSunderlandAston Villa
Position	Sunderland 20th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th20th9th
Points	Sunderland 5, Aston Villa 12, league median 11512
Points, last 5	Sunderland 1, Aston Villa 11, league median 8111
Offense	Sunderland 1.17, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.451.171.44
Defense	Sunderland 1.31, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.241.311.23
Champions League odds	Sunderland <1%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2%<1%4%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Sunderland goals down, Aston Villa goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Aston Villa goals
		Aston Villa 0	Aston Villa 1	Aston Villa 2	Aston Villa 3	Aston Villa 4
Sunderland goals	Sunderland 0	8%	9%	7%	3%	1%
	Sunderland 1	8%	13%	9%	4%	1%
	Sunderland 2	6%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Sunderland 3	2%	3%	2%	1%	<1%
	Sunderland 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Sunderland and Aston Villa sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
…
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	<1%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	<1%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	SunderlandRelegation	Aston VillaChampions League
Now	55%	4%
Sunderland win	, down 9 points46%	, down 1 point3%
Draw	, up 1 point56%	, no change4%
Aston Villa win	, up 8 points63%	, up 2 points6%