Sunderland v AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 30%, a loss to 20%.
- Date
Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Sunderland win 26%, draw 26%, Bournemouth win 48%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Sunderland and Bournemouth, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Sunderland 20th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Sunderland 5, Bournemouth 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Sunderland 1, Bournemouth 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Sunderland 1.17, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Sunderland 1.31, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Sunderland <1%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Bournemouth 0 | Bournemouth 1 | Bournemouth 2 | Bournemouth 3 | Bournemouth 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland 0 | 7% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Sunderland 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Sunderland 2 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Sunderland 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | SunderlandRelegation | BournemouthChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 55% | 26% |
| Sunderland win | , down 10 points45% | , down 6 points20% |
| Draw | , up 1 point56% | , down 4 points22% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 6 points61% | , up 4 points30% |