Sunderland v Brentford
Brentford is 2 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 20%, a loss drops them to 11%.
- Date
Win chances: Brentford favored. Sunderland win 31%, draw 26%, Brentford win 43%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Sunderland and Brentford, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Sunderland 20th, Brentford 6th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Sunderland 5, Brentford 14, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Sunderland 1, Brentford 8, league median 8 |
| Offense | Sunderland 1.17, Brentford 1.63, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Sunderland 1.31, Brentford 1.25, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Sunderland <1%, Brentford 15%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brentford 0 | Brentford 1 | Brentford 2 | Brentford 3 | Brentford 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland 0 | 6% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Sunderland 2 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 3 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | SunderlandRelegation | BrentfordChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 55% | 15% |
| Sunderland win | , down 9 points46% | , down 4 points11% |
| Draw | , up 2 points57% | , down 1 point14% |
| Brentford win | , up 7 points62% | , up 5 points20% |