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Sunderland v Chelsea

Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 33%, a loss to 21%.

  • Date
  • Venue Stadium of Light, Sunderland
  • Where to watch in the US: Not listed yet

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Sunderland win 30%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 44%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Sunderland and Chelsea, against the league median
PositionSunderland 20th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th
PointsSunderland 5, Chelsea 16, league median 11
Points, last 5Sunderland 1, Chelsea 9, league median 8
OffenseSunderland 1.17, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45
DefenseSunderland 1.31, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsSunderland <1%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Sunderland goals down, Chelsea goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Chelsea 0Chelsea 1Chelsea 2Chelsea 3Chelsea 4
Sunderland 06%7%7%4%2%
Sunderland 16%12%9%5%2%
Sunderland 24%7%6%3%1%
Sunderland 32%3%3%2%1%
Sunderland 41%1%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Sunderland and Chelsea sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultSunderlandRelegationChelseaChampions League
Now55%28%
Sunderland win, down 9 points46%, down 7 points21%
Draw, up 2 points57%, down 3 points25%
Chelsea win, up 6 points61%, up 5 points33%