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Sunderland v Coventry City

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 46%, Coventry's to 15%.

  • Date

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 39%, draw 27%, Coventry win 34%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Sunderland and Coventry, against the league median
PositionSunderland 20th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th
PointsSunderland 5, Coventry 9, league median 11
Points, last 5Sunderland 1, Coventry 9, league median 8
OffenseSunderland 1.17, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.45
DefenseSunderland 1.31, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsSunderland 55%, Coventry 22%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Sunderland goals down, Coventry goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Coventry 0Coventry 1Coventry 2Coventry 3Coventry 4
Sunderland 07%7%5%2%1%
Sunderland 18%13%8%4%1%
Sunderland 26%9%6%3%1%
Sunderland 33%4%3%1%<1%
Sunderland 41%2%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Sunderland and Coventry sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultSunderlandCoventry
Now55%22%
Sunderland win, down 9 points46%, up 7 points29%
Draw, up 3 points58%, up 1 point23%
Coventry win, up 10 points65%, down 7 points15%