Sunderland v Coventry City
High stakesStakes 33 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 46%, Coventry's to 15%.
- Date
Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 39%, draw 27%, Coventry win 34%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Sunderland and Coventry, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Sunderland 20th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Sunderland 5, Coventry 9, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Sunderland 1, Coventry 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Sunderland 1.17, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Sunderland 1.31, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Sunderland 55%, Coventry 22%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Coventry 0 | Coventry 1 | Coventry 2 | Coventry 3 | Coventry 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland 0 | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 1 | 8% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Sunderland 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Sunderland | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 55% | 22% |
| Sunderland win | , down 9 points46% | , up 7 points29% |
| Draw | , up 3 points58% | , up 1 point23% |
| Coventry win | , up 10 points65% | , down 7 points15% |