Sunderland v Crystal Palace
High stakesStakes 35 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 47%, Crystal Palace's to 51%.
- Date
Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 45%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace win 29%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Sunderland and Crystal Palace, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Sunderland 20th, Crystal Palace 18th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Sunderland 5, Crystal Palace 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Sunderland 1, Crystal Palace 4, league median 8 |
| Offense | Sunderland 1.17, Crystal Palace 1.33, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Sunderland 1.31, Crystal Palace 1.55, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Sunderland 55%, Crystal Palace 61%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Crystal Palace 0 | Crystal Palace 1 | Crystal Palace 2 | Crystal Palace 3 | Crystal Palace 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 1 | 8% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Sunderland 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Sunderland | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 55% | 61% |
| Sunderland win | , down 8 points47% | , up 7 points68% |
| Draw | , up 4 points59% | , no change61% |
| Crystal Palace win | , up 10 points65% | , down 10 points51% |