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Sunderland v Everton

Everton is 6 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

  • Date

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 38%, draw 29%, Everton win 33%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Sunderland and Everton, against the league median
PositionSunderland 20th, Everton 14th, league median 10.5th
PointsSunderland 5, Everton 10, league median 11
Points, last 5Sunderland 1, Everton 5, league median 8
OffenseSunderland 1.17, Everton 1.24, league median 1.45
DefenseSunderland 1.31, Everton 1.24, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsSunderland 55%, Everton 14%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Sunderland goals down, Everton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 14%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.
Everton 0Everton 1Everton 2Everton 3Everton 4
Sunderland 09%9%6%2%1%
Sunderland 110%14%8%3%1%
Sunderland 27%8%5%2%1%
Sunderland 33%4%2%1%<1%
Sunderland 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Sunderland and Everton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultSunderlandEverton
Now55%14%
Sunderland win, down 9 points46%, up 4 points18%
Draw, up 3 points58%, up 1 point15%
Everton win, up 8 points63%, down 5 points9%