Sunderland v Hull City

SunderlandSunderland

10:00 AM ET

High stakesHigh stakesStakes 36 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.

HullHull City

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 47%, Hull's to 21%.

• Date Saturday, January 2

Tale of the tape

	Sunderland and Hull, against the league medianSunderlandHull
Position	Sunderland 20th, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th20th10th
Points	Sunderland 5, Hull 11, league median 11511
Points, last 5	Sunderland 1, Hull 3, league median 813
Offense	Sunderland 1.17, Hull 1.08, league median 1.451.171.08
Defense	Sunderland 1.31, Hull 1.24, league median 1.241.311.24
Relegation odds	Sunderland 55%, Hull 32%, league median 7%55%32%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Sunderland goals down, Hull goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 14%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Hull goals
		Hull 0	Hull 1	Hull 2	Hull 3	Hull 4
Sunderland goals	Sunderland 0	10%	9%	5%	2%	<1%
	Sunderland 1	11%	14%	7%	2%	1%
	Sunderland 2	8%	9%	5%	2%	<1%
	Sunderland 3	4%	4%	2%	1%	<1%
	Sunderland 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Sunderland and Hull sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	3%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
…
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Sunderland	Hull
Now	55%	32%
Sunderland win	, down 8 points47%	, up 7 points39%
Draw	, up 2 points57%	, no change32%
Hull win	, up 10 points65%	, down 11 points21%