Sunderland v Ipswich Town

SunderlandSunderland

10:00 AM ET

IpswichIpswich Town

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 46%, Ipswich's to 26%.

• Date Saturday, April 10

Tale of the tape

	Sunderland and Ipswich, against the league medianSunderlandIpswich
Position	Sunderland 20th, Ipswich 13th, league median 10.5th20th13th
Points	Sunderland 5, Ipswich 11, league median 11511
Points, last 5	Sunderland 1, Ipswich 5, league median 815
Offense	Sunderland 1.17, Ipswich 1.48, league median 1.451.171.48
Defense	Sunderland 1.31, Ipswich 1.69, league median 1.241.311.69
Relegation odds	Sunderland 55%, Ipswich 36%, league median 7%55%36%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Sunderland goals down, Ipswich goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.

		Ipswich goals
		Ipswich 0	Ipswich 1	Ipswich 2	Ipswich 3	Ipswich 4
Sunderland goals	Sunderland 0	5%	5%	4%	2%	1%
	Sunderland 1	6%	11%	7%	4%	1%
	Sunderland 2	6%	9%	7%	3%	1%
	Sunderland 3	4%	5%	4%	2%	1%
	Sunderland 4	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Sunderland and Ipswich sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	14%
…
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Sunderland	Ipswich
Now	55%	36%
Sunderland win	, down 9 points46%	, up 8 points44%
Draw	, up 6 points61%	, down 1 point35%
Ipswich win	, up 10 points65%	, down 10 points26%