Sunderland v Liverpool
High stakesStakes 30 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 55%, a loss drops them to 40%.
- Date
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Sunderland win 26%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 48%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Sunderland and Liverpool, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Sunderland 20th, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Sunderland 5, Liverpool 15, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Sunderland 1, Liverpool 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Sunderland 1.17, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Sunderland 1.31, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Sunderland <1%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Liverpool 0 | Liverpool 1 | Liverpool 2 | Liverpool 3 | Liverpool 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland 0 | 7% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | |
| Sunderland 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Sunderland 2 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Sunderland 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | SunderlandRelegation | LiverpoolChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 55% | 49% |
| Sunderland win | , down 8 points47% | , down 9 points40% |
| Draw | , no change55% | , down 4 points45% |
| Liverpool win | , up 5 points60% | , up 6 points55% |