Sunderland v Manchester City
Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 93%, a loss to 85%.
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Sunderland win 22%, draw 24%, Man City win 54%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Sunderland and Man City, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Sunderland 20th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Sunderland 5, Man City 21, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Sunderland 1, Man City 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Sunderland 1.17, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Sunderland 1.31, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Sunderland <1%, Man City 90%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man City 0 | Man City 1 | Man City 2 | Man City 3 | Man City 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland 0 | 6% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Sunderland 1 | 5% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | |
| Sunderland 2 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | |
| Sunderland 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| Sunderland 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | SunderlandRelegation | Man CityChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 55% | 90% |
| Sunderland win | , down 10 points45% | , down 5 points85% |
| Draw | , no change55% | , down 1 point89% |
| Man City win | , up 5 points60% | , up 3 points93% |