Sunderland v Newcastle United

SunderlandSunderland

10:00 AM ET

NewcastleNewcastle United

Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Saturday, May 1

Tale of the tape

	Sunderland and Newcastle, against the league medianSunderlandNewcastle
Position	Sunderland 20th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th20th12th
Points	Sunderland 5, Newcastle 11, league median 11511
Points, last 5	Sunderland 1, Newcastle 6, league median 816
Offense	Sunderland 1.17, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.451.171.46
Defense	Sunderland 1.31, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.241.311.36
Relegation odds	Sunderland 55%, Newcastle 7%, league median 7%55%7%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Sunderland goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Newcastle goals
		Newcastle 0	Newcastle 1	Newcastle 2	Newcastle 3	Newcastle 4
Sunderland goals	Sunderland 0	7%	7%	6%	3%	1%
	Sunderland 1	7%	13%	8%	4%	1%
	Sunderland 2	6%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Sunderland 3	3%	4%	3%	1%	<1%
	Sunderland 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Sunderland and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%
…
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Sunderland	Newcastle
Now	55%	7%
Sunderland win	, down 8 points47%	, up 4 points11%
Draw	, up 2 points57%	, no change7%
Newcastle win	, up 8 points63%	, down 3 points4%