Sunderland v Nottingham Forest

SunderlandSunderland

10:00 AM ET

High stakesHigh stakesStakes 34 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 47%, Nott'm Forest's to 19%.

• Date Saturday, December 12

Tale of the tape

	Sunderland and Nott'm Forest, against the league medianSunderlandNott'm Forest
Position	Sunderland 20th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th20th19th
Points	Sunderland 5, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 1156
Points, last 5	Sunderland 1, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 811
Offense	Sunderland 1.17, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.451.171.28
Defense	Sunderland 1.31, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.241.311.23
Relegation odds	Sunderland 55%, Nott'm Forest 29%, league median 7%55%29%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Sunderland goals down, Nott'm Forest goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 14%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Nott'm Forest goals
		Nott'm Forest 0	Nott'm Forest 1	Nott'm Forest 2	Nott'm Forest 3	Nott'm Forest 4
Sunderland goals	Sunderland 0	9%	9%	6%	3%	1%
	Sunderland 1	9%	14%	8%	3%	1%
	Sunderland 2	7%	8%	5%	2%	1%
	Sunderland 3	3%	4%	2%	1%	<1%
	Sunderland 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Sunderland and Nott'm Forest sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
18	Crystal Palace	29	−12	7	61%
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%
20	Sunderland	29	−10	5	55%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Sunderland	Nott'm Forest
Now	55%	29%
Sunderland win	, down 8 points47%	, up 7 points36%
Draw	, up 2 points57%	, up 1 point30%
Nott'm Forest win	, up 9 points64%	, down 10 points19%