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Tottenham Hotspur v AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 19%.

  • Date

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Tottenham win 33%, draw 27%, Bournemouth win 40%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Tottenham and Bournemouth, against the league median
PositionTottenham 8th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th
PointsTottenham 12, Bournemouth 12, league median 11
Points, last 5Tottenham 10, Bournemouth 9, league median 8
OffenseTottenham 1.34, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45
DefenseTottenham 1.21, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsTottenham 2%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Tottenham goals down, Bournemouth goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Bournemouth 0Bournemouth 1Bournemouth 2Bournemouth 3Bournemouth 4
Tottenham 07%8%7%3%1%
Tottenham 17%13%9%4%2%
Tottenham 25%8%6%3%1%
Tottenham 32%4%3%1%1%
Tottenham 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Tottenham and Bournemouth sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultTottenhamRelegationBournemouthChampions League
Now6%26%
Tottenham win, down 3 points3%, down 7 points19%
Draw, no change6%, down 2 points24%
Bournemouth win, up 2 points8%, up 6 points32%