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Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 84%, a loss to 73%.

  • Date

Win chances: Brighton favored. Tottenham win 32%, draw 26%, Brighton win 42%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Tottenham and Brighton, against the league median
PositionTottenham 8th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th
PointsTottenham 12, Brighton 19, league median 11
Points, last 5Tottenham 10, Brighton 12, league median 8
OffenseTottenham 1.34, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45
DefenseTottenham 1.21, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsTottenham 2%, Brighton 79%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Tottenham goals down, Brighton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Brighton 0Brighton 1Brighton 2Brighton 3Brighton 4
Tottenham 06%8%7%4%1%
Tottenham 17%12%9%5%2%
Tottenham 25%8%6%3%1%
Tottenham 32%3%3%1%1%
Tottenham 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Tottenham and Brighton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultTottenhamRelegationBrightonChampions League
Now6%79%
Tottenham win, down 2 points4%, down 6 points73%
Draw, no change6%, down 2 points77%
Brighton win, up 2 points8%, up 5 points84%