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Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea

The closest match of the week.

  • Date

Win chances: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 38%, draw 25%, Chelsea win 37%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Tottenham and Chelsea, against the league median
PositionTottenham 8th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th
PointsTottenham 12, Chelsea 16, league median 11
Points, last 5Tottenham 10, Chelsea 9, league median 8
OffenseTottenham 1.34, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45
DefenseTottenham 1.21, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsTottenham 2%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Tottenham goals down, Chelsea goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Chelsea 0Chelsea 1Chelsea 2Chelsea 3Chelsea 4
Tottenham 05%6%5%3%1%
Tottenham 16%12%8%4%2%
Tottenham 26%8%6%3%1%
Tottenham 33%4%3%2%1%
Tottenham 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Tottenham and Chelsea sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultTottenhamRelegationChelseaChampions League
Now6%28%
Tottenham win, down 2 points4%, down 6 points22%
Draw, up 1 point7%, down 3 points25%
Chelsea win, up 2 points8%, up 7 points35%