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Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Tottenham win 28%, draw 26%, Man City win 46%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Tottenham and Man City, against the league median
PositionTottenham 8th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsTottenham 12, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Tottenham 10, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseTottenham 1.34, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseTottenham 1.21, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsTottenham 2%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Tottenham goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Tottenham 06%8%7%4%2%
Tottenham 16%12%9%5%2%
Tottenham 24%7%6%3%1%
Tottenham 32%3%3%1%1%
Tottenham 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Tottenham and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultTottenhamRelegationMan CityTitle
Now6%13%
Tottenham win, down 3 points3%, down 4 points9%
Draw, no change6%, down 2 points11%
Man City win, up 2 points8%, up 3 points16%