Tottenham Hotspur v Nottingham Forest
Tottenham is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.
- Date
Win chances: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 44%, draw 27%, Nott'm Forest win 29%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Tottenham and Nott'm Forest, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Tottenham 8th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Tottenham 12, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Tottenham 10, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Tottenham 1.34, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Tottenham 1.21, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Tottenham 6%, Nott'm Forest 29%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Nott'm Forest 0 | Nott'm Forest 1 | Nott'm Forest 2 | Nott'm Forest 3 | Nott'm Forest 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham 0 | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Tottenham 1 | 10% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Tottenham 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Tottenham 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Tottenham 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Tottenham | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 29% |
| Tottenham win | , down 2 points4% | , up 5 points34% |
| Draw | , up 1 point7% | , no change29% |
| Nott'm Forest win | , up 3 points9% | , down 10 points19% |