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Tottenham Hotspur v Nottingham Forest

Tottenham is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

  • Date

Win chances: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 44%, draw 27%, Nott'm Forest win 29%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Tottenham and Nott'm Forest, against the league median
PositionTottenham 8th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th
PointsTottenham 12, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11
Points, last 5Tottenham 10, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8
OffenseTottenham 1.34, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45
DefenseTottenham 1.21, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsTottenham 6%, Nott'm Forest 29%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Tottenham goals down, Nott'm Forest goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.
Nott'm Forest 0Nott'm Forest 1Nott'm Forest 2Nott'm Forest 3Nott'm Forest 4
Tottenham 08%7%5%2%1%
Tottenham 110%13%7%3%1%
Tottenham 28%9%5%2%1%
Tottenham 34%5%3%1%<1%
Tottenham 41%2%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Tottenham and Nott'm Forest sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
9Aston Villa29−312
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultTottenhamNott'm Forest
Now6%29%
Tottenham win, down 2 points4%, up 5 points34%
Draw, up 1 point7%, no change29%
Nott'm Forest win, up 3 points9%, down 10 points19%