Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.8 to 2.6
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Atlanta favored. Atlanta win 44%, draw 23%, Cincinnati win 33%.
Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Atlanta | Cincinnati | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.6 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||
Most likely scores
| Cincinnati 0 | Cincinnati 1 | Cincinnati 2 | Cincinnati 3 | Cincinnati 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta 0 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 1 | 6% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Atlanta 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 |
