Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami CF
AtlantaAtlanta United FC
Picault 89' penalty
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 2.0 to 2.1
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Miami favored. Atlanta win 33%, draw 23%, Miami win 44%.
Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Atlanta | Miami | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||
Most likely scores
| Miami 0 | Miami 1 | Miami 2 | Miami 3 | Miami 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta 0 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | |
| Atlanta 1 | 4% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 3% | |
| Atlanta 2 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | |
| Atlanta 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville | 1 | +44 | 74 | |
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 |
