Austin FC v Nashville SC
Final score 1 to 4
Expected goals 1.2 to 4.4
NashvilleNashville SC
Baker-Whiting 30'Saad 67'Mohammed 88'Mukhtar 90+1'
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Nashville favored. Austin win 27%, draw 25%, Nashville win 48%.
Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Austin | Nashville | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 4.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.7 | ||
Most likely scores
| Nashville 0 | Nashville 1 | Nashville 2 | Nashville 3 | Nashville 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 0 | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Austin 1 | 7% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Austin 2 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Austin 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Austin 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | San Diego | 1 | −5 | 38 | |
| 14 | Austin | 1 | −21 | 34 | |
| 15 | Sporting KC | 1 | −42 | 23 | |
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 1 | Nashville | 1 | +44 | 74 | |
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 |
