Austin FC v Portland Timbers
Must watchRated 61 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches.
Portland sits 8th on the playoff line; a win takes it to over 99%, a loss leaves it at 14%.
- Date
- Venue Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas
- Where to watch in the US: Apple TV, streaming
Win chances: Portland favored. Austin win 34%, draw 24%, Portland win 42%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:06 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Austin and Portland, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Austin 14th, Portland 8th, league median 8th |
| Points | Austin 34, Portland 43, league median 43.5 |
| Points, last 5 | Austin 3, Portland 10, league median 6 |
| Offense | Austin 1.10, Portland 1.40, league median 1.41 |
| Defense | Austin 1.71, Portland 1.52, league median 1.44 |
| Playoff odds | Austin <1%, Portland 69%, league median 85% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Portland 0 | Portland 1 | Portland 2 | Portland 3 | Portland 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 0 | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Austin 1 | 6% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Austin 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Austin 3 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Austin 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LA Galaxy | 1 | −6 | 44 | |
| 8 | Portland | 1 | −1 | 43 | |
| 9 | Colorado | 1 | −1 | 43 | |
| 13 | San Diego | 1 | −5 | 38 | |
| 14 | Austin | 1 | −21 | 34 | |
| 15 | Sporting KC | 1 | −42 | 23 |
Playoff odds by result
| Result | Austin | Portland |
|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 69% |
| Austin win | , no change<1% | , down 55 points14% |
| Draw | , no change<1% | , up 20 points89% |
| Portland win | , no change<1% | , up 31 points>99% |
Portland clinches a playoff spot with a win unless Colorado wins.