Austin FC v Real Salt Lake
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.3 to 2.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 27 at 1:33 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Salt Lake favored. Austin win 33%, draw 26%, Salt Lake win 41%.
Issued Oct 27 at 1:33 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Austin | Salt Lake | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.2 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||
Most likely scores
| Salt Lake 0 | Salt Lake 1 | Salt Lake 2 | Salt Lake 3 | Salt Lake 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 0 | 6% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Austin 1 | 7% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Austin 2 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Austin 3 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Austin 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Seattle | 1 | −3 | 43 | |
| 11 | Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 42 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 | |
| 13 | San Diego | 1 | −5 | 38 | |
| 14 | Austin | 1 | −21 | 34 | |
| 15 | Sporting KC | 1 | −42 | 23 |
