CF Montréal v FC Cincinnati
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.9 to 2.3
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Montréal favored. Montréal win 41%, draw 23%, Cincinnati win 36%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Montréal | Cincinnati | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.3 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 | |
| 15 | Montréal | 1 | −30 | 26 |
