Chicago Fire FC v Columbus Crew
Chicago is 5th by rating, Columbus 7th; a win clinches home field in the playoffs for Chicago.
- Date
- Venue SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, Illinois
- Where to watch in the US: Apple TV, streaming
Win chances: Chicago favored. Chicago win 48%, draw 25%, Columbus win 27%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:06 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Chicago and Columbus, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Chicago 4th, Columbus 8th, league median 8th |
| Points | Chicago 55, Columbus 44, league median 43.5 |
| Points, last 5 | Chicago 7, Columbus 15, league median 6 |
| Offense | Chicago 1.64, Columbus 1.40, league median 1.41 |
| Defense | Chicago 1.30, Columbus 1.20, league median 1.44 |
| Playoff odds | Chicago >99%, Columbus >99%, league median 85% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Columbus 0 | Columbus 1 | Columbus 2 | Columbus 3 | Columbus 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago 0 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chicago 1 | 8% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chicago 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chicago 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Chicago 4 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 |
Odds by result
| Result | ChicagoHome field | ColumbusPlayoffs |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 88% | >99% |
| Chicago win | , up 12 points>99% | , no change>99% |
| Draw | , down 10 points78% | , no change>99% |
| Columbus win | , down 10 points78% | , no change>99% |
Chicago clinches home field in the playoffs with a win, or a draw or a loss unless Charlotte wins.