FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Cincinnati favored. Cincinnati win 47%, draw 22%, New England win 31%.
Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Cincinnati | New England | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||
Most likely scores
| New England 0 | New England 1 | New England 2 | New England 3 | New England 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati 0 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 1 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Cincinnati 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Cincinnati 3 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 |