FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.8 to 1.1
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 30 at 1:34 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Cincinnati win 37%, draw 23%, Philadelphia win 40%.
Issued Oct 30 at 1:34 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Cincinnati | Philadelphia | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||
Most likely scores
| Philadelphia 0 | Philadelphia 1 | Philadelphia 2 | Philadelphia 3 | Philadelphia 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati 0 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 1 | 4% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | |
| Cincinnati 2 | 4% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Cincinnati 3 | 2% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 |
