FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes
Final score 4 to 2
Expected goals 3.0 to 1.4
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Cincinnati favored. Cincinnati win 41%, draw 21%, San Jose win 38%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Cincinnati | San Jose | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.4 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 2 | Dallas | 1 | +9 | 55 | |
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 |
