Houston Dynamo FC v FC Dallas
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Houston favored. Houston win 40%, draw 28%, Dallas win 32%.
Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Houston | Dallas | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||
Most likely scores
| Dallas 0 | Dallas 1 | Dallas 2 | Dallas 3 | Dallas 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston 0 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Houston 1 | 10% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | |
| Houston 2 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Houston 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Houston 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver | 1 | +38 | 61 | |
| 2 | Dallas | 1 | +9 | 55 | |
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| 6 | LAFC | 1 | +13 | 47 |
