Houston Dynamo FC v St. Louis City SC
The winner clinches home field in the playoffs; the loser is out of the race for home field.
- Date
- Venue Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas
- Where to watch in the US: Apple TV, streaming
Win chances: Houston favored. Houston win 37%, draw 27%, St. Louis win 36%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:06 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Houston and St. Louis, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Houston 5th, St. Louis 4th, league median 8th |
| Points | Houston 51, St. Louis 51, league median 43.5 |
| Points, last 5 | Houston 6, St. Louis 1, league median 6 |
| Offense | Houston 1.08, St. Louis 1.51, league median 1.41 |
| Defense | Houston 1.28, St. Louis 1.43, league median 1.44 |
| Playoff odds | Houston >99%, St. Louis >99%, league median 85% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| St. Louis 0 | St. Louis 1 | St. Louis 2 | St. Louis 3 | St. Louis 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston 0 | 7% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Houston 1 | 8% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
| Houston 2 | 6% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Houston 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Houston 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| 6 | LAFC | 1 | +13 | 47 |
Home-field odds by result
| Result | Houston | St. Louis |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 37% | 63% |
| Houston win | , up 63 points>99% | , down 63 points<1% |
| Draw | , down 37 points<1% | , up 37 points>99% |
| St. Louis win | , down 37 points<1% | , up 37 points>99% |
Houston clinches home field in the playoffs with a win.
St. Louis clinches home field in the playoffs with a win.