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Inter Miami CF v Charlotte FC

Miami is 4th by rating; Charlotte must win to stay in the race for home field.

  • Date
  • Venue Nu Stadium, Miami, Florida
  • Where to watch in the US: Apple TV, streaming

Win chances: Miami favored. Miami win 59%, draw 19%, Charlotte win 22%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:06 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Miami and Charlotte, against the league median
PositionMiami 2nd, Charlotte 5th, league median 8th
PointsMiami 59, Charlotte 53, league median 43.5
Points, last 5Miami 10, Charlotte 7, league median 6
OffenseMiami 1.89, Charlotte 1.48, league median 1.41
DefenseMiami 1.46, Charlotte 1.49, league median 1.44
Playoff oddsMiami >99%, Charlotte >99%, league median 85%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Miami goals down, Charlotte goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 13%.
Charlotte 0Charlotte 1Charlotte 2Charlotte 3Charlotte 4
Miami 02%2%2%1%<1%
Miami 14%7%5%3%1%
Miami 26%9%6%3%1%
Miami 35%7%5%3%1%
Miami 43%4%3%2%1%

Table

Where Miami and Charlotte sit in the Eastern Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionEastern ConferencePts.
1Nashville1+4474
2Miami1+2159
3New England1+958
4Chicago1+1155
5Charlotte1+1553
6Philadelphia1+1147

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultMiamiPlayoffsCharlotteHome field
Now>99%12%
Miami win, no change>99%, down 12 points<1%
Draw, no change>99%, down 12 points<1%
Charlotte win, no change>99%, up 41 points53%

Charlotte clinches home field in the playoffs with a win if Chicago loses.