Inter Miami CF v New York City FC
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 2.3 to 1.7
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Miami favored. Miami win 56%, draw 21%, NYCFC win 23%.
Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Miami | NYCFC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||
Most likely scores
| NYCFC 0 | NYCFC 1 | NYCFC 2 | NYCFC 3 | NYCFC 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami 0 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Miami 1 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Miami 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Miami 3 | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Miami 4 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville | 1 | +44 | 74 | |
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 |
