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Los Angeles FC v Austin FC

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 3.8 to 0.9

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Win chances: LAFC favored. LAFC win 65%, draw 20%, Austin win 15%.

Issued Oct 13 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, LAFC and Austin
LAFCAustin
3.80.9
3Goals1
2.70.2

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, LAFC goals down, Austin goals across. The most likely is 2–0 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 7%. Goal by goal: 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–1, 3–1.
Austin 0Austin 1Austin 2Austin 3Austin 4
LAFC 05%4%2%1%<1%
LAFC 110%10%4%1%<1%
LAFC 211%10%5%1%<1%
LAFC 38%7%3%1%<1%
LAFC 44%4%2%1%<1%

Table

Where LAFC and Austin sit in the Western Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionWestern ConferencePts.
5Houston1+151
6LAFC1+1347
7LA Galaxy1−644
13San Diego1−538
14Austin1−2134
15Sporting KC1−4223

Full table

Lineups

LAFC4-2-3-1

Austin3-4-3

Austin3-4-3

LAFC4-2-3-1

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LAFC
Austin