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Los Angeles FC v LA Galaxy

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 3.4 to 1.6

Full time
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Win chances: LAFC favored. LAFC win 61%, draw 21%, LA Galaxy win 18%.

Issued Oct 25 at 1:31 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, LAFC and LA Galaxy
LAFCLA Galaxy
3.41.6
2Goals2
2.30.6

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, LAFC goals down, LA Galaxy goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 8%. Goal by goal: 0–0, 0–1, 0–2, 1–2, 2–2.
LA Galaxy 0LA Galaxy 1LA Galaxy 2LA Galaxy 3LA Galaxy 4
LAFC 04%4%2%1%<1%
LAFC 17%9%5%2%1%
LAFC 29%10%6%2%1%
LAFC 36%7%4%2%<1%
LAFC 44%4%2%1%<1%

Table

Where LAFC and LA Galaxy sit in the Western Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionWestern ConferencePts.
5Houston1+151
6LAFC1+1347
7LA Galaxy1−644
8Portland1−143

Full table

Lineups

LAFC4-2-3-1

LA Galaxy4-3-3

LA Galaxy4-3-3

LAFC4-2-3-1

Show substitutes
LAFC
LA Galaxy