Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo FC
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.3 to 2.0
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Minnesota favored. Minnesota win 48%, draw 26%, Houston win 26%.
Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Minnesota | Houston | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.0 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||
Most likely scores
| Houston 0 | Houston 1 | Houston 2 | Houston 3 | Houston 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota 0 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Minnesota 1 | 10% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 1% | |
| Minnesota 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Minnesota 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Minnesota 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| 6 | LAFC | 1 | +13 | 47 | |
| 11 | Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 42 | |
| 12 | Minnesota | 1 | −4 | 41 | |
| 13 | San Diego | 1 | −5 | 38 |
